Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/334190 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
GLO Discussion Paper No. 1700
Publisher: 
Global Labor Organization (GLO), Essen
Abstract: 
I examine whether trade can improve the impact of population growth on natural resources (NR) and welfare over time. Under autarky, population growth results in NR and welfare collapse over time for any value of the returns to scale in the manufacturing sector, ϕ. Under trade, NR and welfare are unchanged (increase) (collapse) over time for ϕ = (>)(<)1 - though the decrease in welfare under ϕ < 1 is dampened relative to autarky. Thus, countries experiencing rapid population growth may benefit from opening up to trade.
Subjects: 
Population growth
Renewable natural resources (NR)
Trade vs autarky
Impact on NR and welfare
JEL: 
F16
F18
Q27
Q56
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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