Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/28349
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dc.contributor.authorGundlach, Erichen_US
dc.contributor.authorPaldam, Martinen_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-05-27en_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-10-18T16:26:53Z-
dc.date.available2009-10-18T16:26:53Z-
dc.date.issued2009en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/28349-
dc.description.abstractLong-run development (in income) causes a large fall in the share of agriculture commonly known as the agricultural transition. We confirm that this conventional wisdom is strongly supported by the data. Long-run development (in income) also causes a large increase in democracy known as the democratic transition. Elsewhere we have shown that it is almost as strong as the agricultural transition. Recently, a method has been presented to weed out spuriousness. It makes the democratic transition go away by turning income insignificant, when it is supplemented by a set of formal controls. We show that the same method makes the agricultural transition go away as well. Hence, it seems to be a method that kills far too much, as suggested by the subtitle. This suggestion leads to a discussion of the very meaning of long-run causality.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisher|aKiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) |cKielen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aKiel Working Paper |x1521en_US
dc.subject.jelO1en_US
dc.subject.jelP5en_US
dc.subject.jelQ1en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordLong-run growthen_US
dc.subject.keywordtransitionsen_US
dc.subject.keywordcausality and spuriousnessen_US
dc.subject.stwEntwicklungen_US
dc.subject.stwWirtschaftswachstumen_US
dc.subject.stwDrei-Sektoren-Hypotheseen_US
dc.subject.stwDemokratieen_US
dc.subject.stwKausalanalyseen_US
dc.subject.stwWelten_US
dc.titleThe agricultural and the democratic transitions: causality and the roundup modelen_US
dc.type|aWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn600480623en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
dc.identifier.repecRePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1521-

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