Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/249366 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance No. 2021/5
Publisher: 
European Commission, Ispra
Abstract: 
We assess the role played by exchange rates in buffering or amplifying the propagation of shocks across international equity markets. Using copula functions we model the joint dependence between exchange rates and two global equity markets and, from a copula framework, we obtain the conditional expectation and measure the exchange rate contribution to shock propagation between those equity markets. Our estimates for emerging Latin American economies (Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico) and two developed markets (Europe and the USA) document the following: (a) the contribution of exchange rates to the transmission of equity shocks is time varying and asymmetric and differs across countries; and (b) exchange rates diversify shocks from abroad for investors based in emerging economies (particularly Brazil, Chile and Mexico) and echo the effect of shocks from abroad for investors based in developed markets. This evidence has implications for international investors in terms of portfolio and risk management decisions.
Subjects: 
Exchange rates
International equity markets
Copulas
Expected shortfall
JEL: 
C58
F31
G15
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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