Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/240206 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
Kiel Working Paper No. 2194
Publisher: 
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel
Abstract: 
In 2015, German Chancellor Angela Merkel decided to allow over a million asylum seekers to cross the border into Germany. One key concern at the time was that her decision would signal an open-door policy to aspiring migrants worldwide - thus, increasing migration to Germany in the long-term. With the continued global rise in forced displacement, Merkel's decision in 2015 provides a unique case study for the fundamental question of whether welcoming migration policies have sustained effects on migration towards destination countries. We analyze an extensive range of data on migration inflows, intentions, and interest between 2000 and 2020. The results reject the 'pull effect' hypothesis while reaffirming states' capacity to adapt to changing contexts and regulate migration.
Subjects: 
migration
migration policy
asylum and refugee policy
policy signaling
pull effects
JEL: 
F22
F68
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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