Di Giulio, Paola Fent, Thomas Philipov, Dimiter Vobecká, Jana Winkler-Dworak, Maria
Year of Publication:
Vienna Institute of Demography Working Papers 8/2013
This state-of-the-art report discusses the substantive and methodological background for the construction and application of a family-related foresight method. The substantive part includes a brief presentation of two preceding family-oriented foresight methods: one run by the OECD in 2012 (producing two scenarios) and the other by the FamilyPlatform (producing four scenarios), the forerunners of the FamiliesAndSocieties project. The methodological background focuses on microsimulation and agent-based models, two quantitative models that will serve as new tools for foresight. Their application is considered in a systematic framework along with other standard foresight tools such as workshops and focus groups.
family foresight microsimulation agent-based models online questionnaire