Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
Testa, Maria Rita
Basten, Stuart
Year of Publication: 
Series/Report no.: 
Vienna Institute of Demography Working Papers 9/2012
Using several rounds of the Eurobarometer [EB] survey, we examine the relationship between lifetime fertility intentions and the 'Great Recession' in Europe. We suppose that the increase in unemployment rates observed between 2006 and 2011, the years in which the two EB surveys were conducted, are key driving forces behind the decline of fertility intentions observed in some EU countries, like Greece, over the 5-year period. Our findings reveal that the increasing uncertainty attached to the reported fertility intentions substantially contributes to the declining pattern observed over the five years and that people who negatively assess the country economic situation are more likely to plan smaller family sizes than those who have a more optimistic view of the country past shortterm economic trend. Eventually, the aggregate negative changes occurred in fertility intentions between 2006 and 2011 are positively correlated with the increase of youth unemployment rates. We might expect a similar declining trend in lifetime fertility intentions also in other countries - such as Spain, Italy, Ireland and Portugal - in the years to come if the economic crisis starts to be perceived as heavily as in Greece in such countries.
Lifetime fertility intentions
Great Recession
multilevel analysis
unemployment rates
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
944.78 kB

Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.