Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/79860
Authors: 
Rengel, Malte
Herwartz, Helmut
Xu, Fang
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2013: Wettbewerbspolitik und Regulierung in einer globalen Wirtschaftsordnung - Session: Bond and Stock Prices A21-V1
Abstract: 
Persistent variations in the log price-to-dividend ratio (PtDR) have triggered a lively discussion in the literature. This paper proposes a present value model incorporating this persistence through a time-varying steady state of the PtDR. Log-likelihood statistics confirm that the time-varying state model outperforms its counterpart with a constant steady state. It is shown that the steady state of the PtDR is jointly influenced by consumption risk, risking sharing, and the demographic structure. Among those consumption risk is the dominating factor in shaping the variations in the steady state of the PtDR throughout the entire last century.
JEL: 
E44
G01
G12
Document Type: 
Conference Paper

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