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Fellner, Gerlinde
Güth, Werner
Maciejovsky, Boris
Year of Publication: 
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 621
Overall, 72 subjects invest their endowment in four risky assets. Each com-bination of assets yields the same expected return and variance of returns. Illusion of expertise prevails when one prefers nevertheless the self-selected portfolio. After being randomly assigned to groups of four subjects are asked to elect their expert based on responses to a prior decision task. Using the random price mecha-nism reveals that 64% of the subjects prefer their own portfolio over the average group portfolio or the expert's port-folio. Illusion of expertise is shown to be stable individually, over alternatives, and for both eliciting methods, willingness to pay and to accept.
investment decisions
portfolio selection
unrealistic optimism
illusion of control
endowment effect
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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