Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/333394 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
ZEW Discussion Papers No. 25-058
Publisher: 
ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim
Abstract: 
We study how low and medium-skilled refugee immigration affects natives' labor market outcomes. Using individual-level panel data on the German workforce for 2011-2019 and exogenous regional variation from processing authorities' distances, we find that a larger inflow of refugees to a district increases the probability of full-time employment for incumbent workers. Fewer outflows of employment drive this effect. The yearly estimates suggest positive labor demand responses in the short run - in occupations that supply services to the refugees - and positive labor supply effects in the medium run - in manufacturing occupations. Wages, job task composition, and job changes remain unaffected, though positive mobility responses are observed.
Subjects: 
refugee migration
labor market outcomes
complementarities
JEL: 
J15
J21
J31
J61
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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