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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2024
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] Theoretical Economics [ISSN:] 1555-7561 [Volume:] 19 [Issue:] 4 [Year:] 2024 [Pages:] 1505-1541
Verlag: 
The Econometric Society, New Haven, CT
Zusammenfassung: 
We build a model studying the effect of an economy's potential for social learning on the adoption of innovations of uncertain quality. Assuming consumers are forward-looking (i.e., recognize the value of waiting for information), we analyze how qualitative and quantitative features of the learning environment affect equilibrium adoption dynamics, welfare, and the speed of learning. Based on this, we show how differences in the learning environment translate into observable differences in adoption dynamics, suggesting a purely informational channel for two commonly documented adoption patterns: S-shaped and concave curves. We also identify environments that are subject to a saturation effect: Increased opportunities for social learning can slow down adoption and learning, and do not increase consumer welfare, possibly even being harmful.
Schlagwörter: 
exponential bandits
informational free-riding
Innovation adoption
social learning
strategic experimentation
JEL: 
D80
D83
O33
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