Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/283791 
Year of Publication: 
2023
Series/Report no.: 
WIDER Working Paper No. 2023/95
Publisher: 
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER), Helsinki
Abstract: 
We examine the impact of temperature shocks and climate change on household financial behaviour in Viet Nam. To do so, we first estimate the effect of temperature on household borrowing and savings using Vietnamese longitudinal data that matches satellite reanalysis temperature data with household information over the period 2008 to 2016. We find that an additional day with an average temperature of greater than 30êC, relative to the number of days in the 18-22êC range, is associated with a 6.3 per cent decrease in household savings and a 1.4 per cent increase in household borrowing. In the case of household savings, we find that the effects of temperature shocks are more pronounced on informal savings than formal savings. Further, total agricultural production and rice production are mechanisms through which temperature shocks influence household savings and borrowing. Specifically, by reducing the level of agricultural production, (hot) temperature shocks decrease household savings and increase household borrowing. Our estimates suggest that over the next century, under the conventional trajectory in which countervailing measures are not adopted to address climate change, climate change will be responsible for an additional 0.124 standard deviation decrease in household savings and a 0.102 standard deviation increase in household debt.
Subjects: 
temperature
weather
climate change
savings
borrowing
Viet Nam
JEL: 
Q51
Q54
G02
D14
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-9267-403-8
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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