Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/263706 
Year of Publication: 
2022
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 9776
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
We examine how the evaluation of research studies in economics depends on whether a study yielded a null result. Studies with null results are perceived to be less publishable, of lower quality, less important, and less precisely estimated than studies with significant results, even when holding constant all other study features, including the precision of estimates. The null result penalty is of similar magnitude among PhD students and journal editors. The penalty is larger when experts predict a large effect and when statistical uncertainty is communicated with p-values rather than standard errors. Our findings highlight the value of pre-results review.
Subjects: 
null results
publication bias
learning
information
scientific communication
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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