Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/229544
Authors: 
Potrafke, Niklas
Wüthrich, Kaspar
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 8726
Abstract: 
We examine how Green governments influence macroeconomic, education, and environmental outcomes. Our empirical strategy exploits that the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan gave rise to an unanticipated change in government in the German state Baden-Wuerttemberg in 2011. The incumbent rightwing government was replaced by a leftwing government led by the Green party. We use the synthetic control method to select control states against which Baden-Wuerttemberg’s outcomes can be compared. The results do not suggest that the Green government influenced macroeconomic outcomes. The Green government implemented education policies that caused comprehensive schools to become larger. We find no evidence that the Green government influenced CO2 emissions, particulate matter emissions, or increased energy usage from renewable energies overall. An intriguing result is that the share of wind power usage decreased relative to the estimated counterfactual. Intra-ecological conflicts and realities in public office are likely to have prevented the Green government from implementing drastic policy changes.
Subjects: 
Green governments
partisan politics
synthetic control method
causal effects
Fukushima nuclear disaster
environmental policies
energy policies
renewable energies
comprehensive schools
JEL: 
C33
D72
E65
H70
I21
Q48
Q58
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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