Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/219109 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 8291
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
The ifo Institute is Germany’s largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the most important leading indicators for gross domestic product. However, the ifo Business Survey is not solely limited to the Business Climate and also delivers a multitude of further indicators to forecast several important economic variables. This paper gives a literature overview over existing studies that deal with the forecasting power of various ifo indicators both for gross domestic product and further economic variables such as exports. Overall, the various indicators from the ifo Business Survey can be seen as leading indicators for a multitude of variables representing the German economy, making them a powerful tool both for an in-depth business cycle diagnosis and for applied forecasting work.
Subjects: 
economic forecasting
business surveys
leading indicators
JEL: 
E17
E27
E37
F17
J11
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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