Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/18861 
Year of Publication: 
2004
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 1222
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
We investigate the empirical impact of violence as compared to other trade impediments on trade flows. Our analysis is based on a panel data set with annual observations on 177 countries from 1968 to 1999, which brings together information from the Rose [2004] dataset, the ITERATE dataset for terrorist events, and datasets of external and internal conflict. We explore these data with traditional and theoretical gravity models. We calculate that, for a given country year, the presence of terrorism, as well as internal and external conflict is equivalent to as much as a 30 percent tariff on trade. This is larger than estimated tariffequivalent costs of border and language barriers and tariff-equivalent reduction through GSPs and WTO participation.
Subjects: 
trade
conflict
terrosism
JEL: 
D74
E6
H5
H1
O11
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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