Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/172976 
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 6700
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
When firms borrow in foreign currency but collect revenues in local currency, exchange rate changes can affect their ability to repay their debt. Using loan-level data from U.S. banks’ regulatory filings, this paper studies the effect of exchange rate changes on firms’ loan payments. A 10 percent depreciation of the local currency makes a firm with foreign currency debt 69 basis points more likely to become past due on its loans than a firm with local currency debt. This result implies that firms do not perfectly hedge against exchange rate risk and that this risk translates into credit risk for banks. The findings lend support to both the balance sheet channel and the financial channel of exchange rates.
Subjects: 
cross-border banking
exchange rates
credit risk
corporate loans
JEL: 
F31
G15
G21
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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