Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/108771
Authors: 
Cattaneo, Cristina
Massetti, Emanuele
Year of Publication: 
2015
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 5224
Abstract: 
We analyse whether migration is an adaptation that households employ to cope with climate in Ghana and Nigeria. If migration is part of the present adaptation portfolio of households in developing countries, it is reasonable to expect that it will also be an adaptation to future climate change. It is important to stress that we are interested in long-term climatic conditions rather than in short-term weather fluctuations. The data to test these predictions are drawn from two different household surveys: the Nigeria General Household Survey and the Ghana Living Standard Survey. We find a hill-shaped relationship between temperature in the dry season and the propensity to migrate in households that operate farms. We also find a significant hill-shaped relationship between precipitations in the wet seasons and the propensity to migrate in farm households. Climate has instead no significant impact on the propensity to migrate in non-farm households. Climate change scenarios generated by General Circulation model reveal that, ceteris paribus, migration may decline in Ghana and in Nigeria.
Subjects: 
climate change impacts
migration
development economics
JEL: 
O15
Q54
R23
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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