Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/331669 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 18105
Publisher: 
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
We study the fertility effects of Italy's Reddito di Cittadinanza (RdC), a national minimum income program introduced in 2019. Exploiting administrative data from the Italian Social Security Institute and a Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design, we document that RdC increased recipients' childbirth probability by 1.5 percentage points (18%) over two years in the South, with no effect in the Centre-North. Labor supply declined by 10%, but only in the Centre-North. Regional heterogeneity reflects differences in gender norms, financial constraints, and opportunity costs of childbearing. Our findings highlight how income transfers interact with local context to shape demographic and labor market behavior.
Subjects: 
fertility
guaranteed minimum income
RDD
JEL: 
H53
J13
C21
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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