Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/324418 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
CeMPA Working Paper Series No. CeMPA WP 5/25
Publisher: 
University of Essex, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis (CeMPA), Colchester
Abstract: 
One challenge presented by population aging is how to adjust public support for social care in a way that achieves desired quality of life outcomes without compromising budget sustainability. This study uses best-practice methods of economic analysis to explore projections for care and related public policy between 2020 and 2070 in the United Kingdom (UK). The UK is an interesting case study, as diverse social care provisions are adopted in the four constituent countries. Projections indicate that the number of people in need of care will approximately double over the prospective half century, with informal carers playing a key role in meeting the growing burden. Policy counterfactuals contrast the budgetary implications of closing the social care gap, particularly in England and Northern Ireland, and of easing poverty among informal carers
Subjects: 
Social care
poverty
informal care
at-home care
welfare policy
microsimulation
JEL: 
J11
J13
D15
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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