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Alfarano, Simone
Milaković, Mishael
Raddant, Matthias
Year of Publication: 
Series/Report no.: 
Economics working paper / Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel, Department of Economics 2009,09
Kirman's ant model has been used to characterize the expectation formation of financial investors who are prone to herding. The model's original version suffers from the problem of N-dependence: its ability to replicate the statistical features of financial returns vanishes once the system size N is increased. In a generalized version of the ant model, the network structure connecting agents turns out to determine whether or not the model is N-dependent. We investigate a class of hierarchical networks in the generalized model that presumably reflect the institutional heterogeneity of financial markets. These network structures do overcome the problem of N-dependence, but at the same time they also increase system-wide volatility. Thus network structure becomes an auxiliary source of volatility in addition to the behavioral heterogeneity of interacting agents.
financial markets
systemic risk
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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