Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/230526
Authors: 
Barron, Kai
Bradshaw, Debbie
Parry, Charles D.H.
Dorrington, Rob
Groenewald, Pam
Laubscher, Ria
Matzopoulos, Richard
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
Discussion Paper No. 273
Publisher: 
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München und Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190 - Rationality and Competition, München und Berlin
Abstract: 
On July 13, 2020 a complete nation-wide ban was placed on the sale and transport of alcohol in South Africa. This paper evaluates the impact of this sudden and unexpected five-week alcohol prohibition on mortality due to unnatural causes. We find that the policy reduced the number of unnatural deaths by 21 per day, or approximately 740 over the five-week period. This constitutes a 14% decrease in the total number of deaths due to unnatural causes. We argue that this represents a lower bound on the impact of alcohol on short-run mortality, and underscores the severe influence that alcohol has on society - even in the short-run.
Subjects: 
Alcohol
mortality
economics
health
South Africa
COVID-19
violence
JEL: 
I18
I12
K42
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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