Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/219804 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2016
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Institute of Economic Research Working Papers No. 21/2016
Verlag: 
Institute of Economic Research (IER), Toruń
Zusammenfassung: 
Identification of linkages among capital markets is crucial for forming policies that take into account risk associated with international financial markets in-terdependencies. Thus, the aim of the article is to analyse interdependencies among capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary. The research hypothesis was given as follows: There is a similar course and changes in the inter-dependencies among capital markets of Germany and the markets of the mentioned countries of the Visegrad Group. In the research a DCC-GARCH model was applied. The model allowed to estimate conditional correlations that indicate strength of the interrelationship among the markets. Then, the cointegration analysis of the conditional correlations was conducted. The proposed econometric procedure allowed to verify the research hypothesis. It confirmed that the capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary are characterised with similar long-term path. Additionally, the research showed that changes in the direction and strength of the interrelationships among the studied markets are determined by the German capital market in the long-term, which is a leader in the region.
Schlagwörter: 
cointegration of interdependencies among capital markets
conditional correlation
DCC-GARCH model
conditional variance
JEL: 
G15
C58
Creative-Commons-Lizenz: 
cc-by Logo
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

Datei(en):
Datei
Größe
290.76 kB





Publikationen in EconStor sind urheberrechtlich geschützt.