Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/212127 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2009
Series/Report no.: 
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers No. 6/2009
Publisher: 
Bank of Finland, Helsinki
Abstract: 
Using the maximum entropy method, this paper estimates the danger of contagion in the Finnish interbank market in 2005 2007 as well as the existence of contagion during a Finnish banking crisis. The contagion analysis of the early 1990s is able to predict the most troublesome and defaulting banks in the banking sector. The simulation results for 2005 2007 suggest that five of ten deposit banks are possible starting points for contagious effects. The magnitude of contagion is conditional on the first failing bank. In addition to large commercial banks, middle-sized banks also cause damaging domino effects. Over the last few years, the negative effects of contagion on the Finnish banking sector have been, on average, more limited than those of the early 1990s. The contagion is currently a low probability event in the Finnish interbank market.
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-952-462-493-0
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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