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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2018
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] Economies [ISSN:] 2227-7099 [Volume:] 6 [Issue:] 1 [Publisher:] MDPI [Place:] Basel [Year:] 2018 [Pages:] 1-12
Verlag: 
MDPI, Basel
Zusammenfassung: 
This paper studies the theoretical effects of changes in disaster risk on macroeconomic variables in five Latin American economies. It compares country-specific variants of the New Keynesian model with disaster risk developed by Isoré and Szczerbowicz (2017). Countries with higher price flexibility, such as Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, are found to be relatively less vulnerable to disaster risk shocks, as compared to Chile and Colombia in particular. Overall, the analysis suggests that increases in the probability of natural disasters over time may have significant macroeconomic effects, beyond the direct impact of actual disaster occurrences themselves.
Schlagwörter: 
natural disasters
disaster risk
DSGE models
business cycles
Latin America
JEL: 
E20
E31
E32
Q54
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