Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/180466 
Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 11448
Publisher: 
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
Empirical analyses of twin mortality often use models with dependent unobserved frailty terms capturing genetic and childhood environmental determinants. This ignores that mortality rates can be co-dependent due to bereavement effects, i.e. to a time-dependent causal effect of the loss of the co-twin on the mortality rate of the surviving twin. We develop a novel methodology and perform an empirical analysis based on a comprehensive model incorporating both types of dependence. We prove full identification without functional-form restrictions and we estimate models with data on twin pairs from the Danish Twin Registry. Among men, the loss of an identical co-twin at age 75 causally reduces the remaining lifetime on average by more than a year. This bereavement effect is less severe among non-identical twins or if the loss occurs at a higher age. Estimates of correlations between the frailty terms by zygosity and the ensuing implications for the relative importance of mortality determinants are highly sensitive to whether bereavement is taken into account.
Subjects: 
mortality
longevity
duration
frailty
genetic determinants
hazard rate
identification
loss of co-twin
JEL: 
C41
C32
I14
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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