Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/108041
Authors: 
Havas, Attila
Year of Publication: 
2002
Series/Report no.: 
IEHAS Discussion Papers MT-DP - 2002/6
Abstract: 
TEP, the Hungarian Technology Foresight Programme, was launched in 1997, as the first one in Central and Eastern Europe, to provide inputs to a national strategy by identifying socio-economic challenges and developing broad visions for the future. Specifically, it was aimed at analysing Hungary’s current strengths and weaknesses, developing scenarios (visions) and formulating policy proposals to improve quality of life and the longterm international competitiveness. This presentation first briefly defines the concept and methods of (technology) foresight, and highlights some reasons why it is a useful policy tool, followed by a brief account of the objectives and methods of TEP. Then, summarising the results, Sections 3 and 4 provide an overview of the transition process (institutional changes as well as economic developments) and the current socio-economic challenges, respectively. Changing the time horizon, 3 long-term macro scenarios are discussed in Section 5, together with policy recommendations developed by TEP so as to achieve the most desirable – but still feasible – vision. Section 6 summarises the results of the dissemination and implementation phase of TEP. Finally, the concluding section highlights the benefits of foresight to assist decision-makers; some general difficulties concerning its design, methodologies and implementation of its results; as well as specific Hungarian problems, due to the legacy of planning.
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size
350.33 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.