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Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2014
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Economics Discussion Papers No. 2014-25
Verlag: 
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel
Zusammenfassung: 
An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single macroeconometric model to make its forecasts and guide its policies. Suggestions are then made as to what might be feasible for a central bank to report given that it is unlikely to be willing to commit to a single model. A particular model is used as an illustration.
Schlagwörter: 
central bank
uncertainty
stochastic simulation
JEL: 
E50
Creative-Commons-Lizenz: 
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Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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