Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/20432 
Year of Publication: 
2004
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 1187
Publisher: 
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
This paper models the short and medium-run impact of aid on migration, considering alternatively the effect of unconditional and conditional cash transfers to financially constrained households. Data from the evaluation of a Mexican development program, Progresa, are used to estimate the effect of the potential grant size on migration. The empirical analysis is consistent with model prediction. It shows that the program is associated with an increase in international migration, which is also a positive function of size of potential transfer. The grant may loosen financial constraints. At the same time, fine-tuned conditional grants targeting prospective migrants (in the form of secondary school subsidies) reduce the short-term migration probability. As regards medium-term migration, secondary school beneficiaries are not more likely to migrate than the control group after they complete the subsidised education cycle.
Subjects: 
migration
aid
Progresa
Mexico
JEL: 
I38
J18
J16
O15
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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