Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/102248 
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 4884
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
We show that drought-induced changes in the intensity of riots lead to moves towards democracy in sub-Saharan Africa, and that these changes are often a result of concessions made as a result of the riots. This provides evidence that low-intensity conflict can have a substantial short-run impact on democratic change, and supports the .window of opportunity. hypothesis: droughts lead to an increase in the threat of conflict, and incumbents often respond by making democratic concessions.
Subjects: 
riots
drought
transitions
democracy
autocracy
JEL: 
D70
P16
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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