Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/94653
Authors: 
Filson, Darren
Songsamphant, Bunchon
Year of Publication: 
2001
Series/Report no.: 
Claremont Colleges Working Papers in Economics 2001-13
Abstract: 
Previous work on exit in declining industries has neglected mergers. We examine a simple model that predicts which declining industries experience horizontal mergers. Mergers are more likely if 1) market concentration is high; 2) the inverse demand curve is steep at high levels of output and flat at low levels of output; and 3) the industry declines slowly early on and rapidly later on. The conditions that make mergers privately profitable also tend to make them socially optimal. We test the model using U.S. manufacturing industries that declined during 1975-1995 and find some empirical support.
Subjects: 
takeover
restructuring
consolidation
industry dynamics
failing industries
JEL: 
L10
G34
L41
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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