Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80850
Authors: 
Moser, Christoph
Rose, Andrew K.
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
KOF Working Papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich 295
Abstract: 
The Doha multilateral round of trade negotiations sponsored by the WTO has been dragging on for over a decade, with no end in sight. In this short paper we assess empirically what determines the duration of trade negotiations, focusing on the span between the start of trade talks and their conclusion. We use data from 88 regional trade agreements between 1988 and 2009, and a semi-parametric Cox proportional hazards model. Four factors are robust determinants of the length of RTA negotiations. Negotiations are more protracted when there are more countries at the negotiation table, and when the countries are not from the same region. Negotiations between more open and richer countries are also finished more quickly.
Subjects: 
regional
GATT
WTO
duration
income
data
empirical
Cox
survival
JEL: 
F13
F51
F53
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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