Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/66596
Authors: 
Oyinlola, M. Abimbola
Adeniyi, Oluwatosin
Omisakin, Olusegun
Year of Publication: 
2010
Citation: 
[Journal:] International Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research [ISSN:] 1791-3373 [Volume:] 3 [Year:] 2010 [Issue:] 2 [Pages:] 123-141
Abstract: 
This paper examines the long-run and short-run impacts of exchange rate and price changes on trade flows in Nigeria using exports and imports functions. The bounds testing (ARDL) approach to cointegration is applied on a quarterly data from 1980 Q1 to 2007 Q4. The results indicate that in both the short-run and long-run Nigeria's trade flows are chiefly influenced by income- both domestic and foreign-, relative prices, nominal effective exchange rates and the stock of external reserves. The results also reveal that in the long-run, devaluation is more effective than relative prices in altering imports demand at both baseline and augmented models. The reverse is, however, the case for exports demand. Furthermore, the sum of the estimated price elasticities of export and import demand in Nigeria exceeds unity indicating that the Marshall-Lerner (ML) condition holds thus implying that a devalued naira might hold considerable promise as the panacea to rising trade deficits.
Subjects: 
trade flows
exchange rate
relative prices
autoregressive distributed lag
JEL: 
F13
F31
C32
Document Type: 
Article

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