Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/48121
Authors: 
Graff, Michael
Karmann, Alexander
Year of Publication: 
2001
Series/Report no.: 
Dresden discussion paper in economics 01/01
Abstract: 
To clarify the causal links between financial activity and economic growth, three theoretical models are analyzed and a structural equation path models is estimated. In the modeling part, poverty traps result from large fixed costs or high proportions of real investment to run a financial sector. Human capital allocated to financial activities will improve long-run levels but may reduce growth rates in the short run. Empirically, based on data for 93 countries during the 1980–90 period, it is shown that during the 1980s finance was predominantly a supply-leading determinant of economic growth. Our analysis suggests, however, that this general finding cannot be confirmed for the less developed countries, thereby giving some support to the conclusions derived from the theoretical modeling.
Subjects: 
financial development
economic growth
financial sector
causality
JEL: 
O16
O42
E24
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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