Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/339423 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
CeMPA Working Paper Series No. CeMPA WP 8/25
Publisher: 
University of Essex, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis (CeMPA), Colchester
Abstract: 
This report documents the application of the SimPaths dynamic microsimulation framework - originally developed with reference to the UK - to the Italian context. The report describes model structure and adaptation with respect to the UK template, the input data used, and discusses specification and parameter estimates for all the statistical processes included in the model, with respect to the first public release (July 2025). Validation of the model is performed by comparing simulations started in 2011 with observed survey data for the period 2011-2021, with overall good results. The report concludes with an application to the effects of population ageing on economic dependency ratios and fiscal sustainability.
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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