Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/337822 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Citation: 
[Journal:] Annals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights [ISSN:] 2666-9579 [Volume:] 6 [Issue:] 1 [Article No.:] 100163 [Year:] 2025 [Pages:] 1-14
Publisher: 
Elsevier, Amsterdam
Abstract: 
The coronavirus pandemic had a devastating effect on tourism. This paper develops an integrated intervention analysis and forecasting methodology for crisis impact assessment to investigate the economic impacts of border restrictions for a popular tourist destination in Australia, the Gold Coast. Using anonymised and aggregated daily Visa expenditure data from 2018 to 2020, this paper investigates domestic and international visitors' responses to border restrictions and their subsequent easing. Responses are influenced by policy severity, proximity to destinations, and broader pandemic conditions, with international markets experiencing the greatest expenditure impact. Domestic intrastate visitors drove initial recovery, while interstate visitors faced barriers like non-reciprocal travel arrangements and frequently changing restrictions. Travel restrictions disproportionately affected tourist-oriented businesses and altered the spatial distribution of visitor spending.
Subjects: 
Card transaction data
Coronavirus pandemic
Intervention analysis
Time series modelling
Tourism crisis
Tourist expenditure
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc-nd Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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