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Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2025
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] East Asian Economic Review (EAER) [ISSN:] 2508-1667 [Volume:] 29 [Issue:] 4 [Year:] 2025 [Pages:] 455-486
Verlag: 
Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP), Sejong-si
Zusammenfassung: 
This study finds that the one-period lagged income of China's rice farmers, as measured by net profit, has a significant linear negative impact (inhibitory effect) on rice green total factor productivity (RGTFP), a relationship characterized by two separate singlethreshold effects. Against the backdrop of escalating global climate shocks and prominent agricultural ecological issues, the ambiguity of this driving mechanism has constrained in-depth research on the green transition of rice farming. Based on panel data from 22 major rice-producing provinces in China from 2005 to 2022, our analysis using dynamic panel models (to account for time-lag effects) and threshold models (to identify nonlinear shifts) reveals that for each unit increase in net profit, RGTFP decreases by an average of 0.14%. A one-period lagged farmer income threshold is identified at 857.4 CNY/ha; the negative impact is strongest in the low-income regime (below the threshold), but becomes an insignificant positive effect after crossing the threshold. Furthermore, a mechanization level threshold exists at 6.14 kW/ha; no significant impact is observed in the low-mechanization regime, whereas the impact of lagged farmer income on RGTFP turns significantly positive after surpassing this threshold. This research provides empirical support for policy adjustments aimed at fostering a green agricultural transition.
Schlagwörter: 
Farmer Income
Rice Green Total Factor Productivity
Threshold Effect
Dynamic Panel
JEL: 
O13
Q56
C24
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