Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/335003 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper No. 3118
Publisher: 
European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt a. M.
Abstract: 
This paper examines whether firm-specific cyclical and idiosyncratic risk profiles influence corporate bond spreads and the transmission of monetary policy. I extend the standard excess bond premium (EBP) framework of Gilchrist & Zakrajések (2012) to allow investors' required compensation for default risk to vary with firm-level risks. Incorporating these effects reveals that a significantly larger share of a monetary policy shock's impact on credit spreads is driven by changes in default risk compensation (as opposed to the EBP). In particular, for firms with more cyclical risk, up to one-fourth of the additional spread widening following a contractionary monetary policy shock reflects higher expected default compensation, substantially more than implied by the traditional EBP. By contrast, firms with high idiosyncratic risk show no strong differential response to monetary policy shocks relative to other firms.
Subjects: 
excess bond premium
cyclicality
risk
monetary policy
sentiment
JEL: 
D22
E43
E44
E52
G12
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-7441-7
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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