Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/324635 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
IDOS Discussion Paper No. 26/2025
Publisher: 
German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS), Bonn
Abstract: 
This paper analyses the structural vulnerabilities of Latin American economies amid recent United States (US)-China tariff escalations and identifies strategic opportunities emerging from these shifts. Based on descriptive bilateral trade data from 2023 for the largest Latin American economies - Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico - the study assesses exposure to US tariffs at the industry level. It further highlights sectors with the potential to benefit from diverted trade flows in the context of trade polarisation between China and the US. The degree of exposure varies across countries, depending on export structure and trade partners. While the tariff conflict may enable some countries to expand exports to China or the US, most Latin American economies - except Mexico - export their largest share of their manufactured goods within the region. Strengthening regional trade integration can therefore enhance resilience to external shocks and support technological upgrading.
Subjects: 
US trade policy
trade policy uncertainty
Latin America
tariff vulnerability
structural trade exposure
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-3-96021-271-3
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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