Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/322180 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
PIDS Discussion Paper Series No. 2025-10
Publisher: 
Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS), Quezon City
Abstract: 
We estimate the future demand for public school classrooms using new school children population projections for 82 provinces and 33 urbanized cities of the Philippines up to 2060. A return to replacement-level fertility from the current 1.9 total fertility rate (TFR) is expected to ease demand for public school classrooms, except in BARMM, where the population of school-age children is projected to continue increasing. Below replacement TFR will likely result in greater easing of classroom congestion in public schools. However, the large school infrastructure backlogs and ageing of existing school buildings are expected to remain important issues in the future despite potential tailwinds from low fertility. We also highlight potential contributing factors to current classroom congestions.
Subjects: 
school infrastructure
low fertility
population projection
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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