Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/314086 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Journal of Applied Economics [ISSN:] 1667-6726 [Volume:] 23 [Issue:] 1 [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 163-182
Publisher: 
Taylor & Francis, Abingdon
Abstract: 
This paper examines the validity of the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) over the period 1975-2012, using a neoclassical production function augmented with merchandise exports and imports of goods and services. The study applies the Johansen cointegration technique and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) regression to confirm the existence of a long-run relationship between exports and economic growth, while the multivariate Granger causality test is applied to examine the direction of the short-run causality. In addition, the existence of long-run causality is investigated by applying a modified version of the Wald test in an augmented vector autoregressive model. The Johansen test and DOLS results confirm the existence of a long-run relationship between exports and economic growth. In addition, the study provides evidence to support the validity of the ELG hypothesis in the short-run, while no long-run causality is found to exist.
Subjects: 
economic growth
Exports
Granger causality
UAE
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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