Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/312932 
Year of Publication: 
2024
Series/Report no.: 
ZEF Discussion Papers on Development Policy No. 357
Publisher: 
University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF), Bonn
Abstract: 
Many people in rural Africa still rely on smallholder agriculture as their main source of livelihood. Yet pursuing other economic activities beyond farming to diversify incomes becomes increasingly important. In this paper, we focus on the role of people's income aspirations in the process of diversification. We first show that in settings where wage employment opportunities are scarce, income diversification is linked to higher levels of income. We test the theoretical prediction that aspirations that are moderately ahead, but not too far ahead of one's current income level, serve as best incentives for future-orientated behavior, such as income diversification. We leverage unique household panel data from four African countries to test this hypothesis, finding strong and robust evidence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between income aspirations and indicators of income diversification. Our findings underpin the importance of behavioral factors as channels for economic development and poverty reduction.
Subjects: 
Aspirations
Income diversification
Household welfare
Poverty
JEL: 
D91
I39
O12
Q12
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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