Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/311141 
Year of Publication: 
2024
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper No. 2977
Publisher: 
European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt a. M.
Abstract: 
We build a model of the aggregate housing and rental markets in which house prices and rents are determined endogenously. Households can choose their housing tenure status (renters, homeowners, or landlords) and the size of their homes depending on their age, income and wealth. We use our model to study the impact of changes in credit conditions on house prices, rents and household welfare. We analyse the introduction of policies that limited loan-to-value (LTV) and loan-to-income (LTI) ratios of newly originated mortgages in Ireland in 2015 and find that, consistent with empirical evidence, they mitigate house price growth but increase rents. Homeownership rates drop, and young and middle-income households are negatively affected by the reform. An unexpected permanent rise in real interest rates has similar effects - by making mortgages more expensive and alternative investments more attractive for landlords, it increases rents relative to house prices.
Subjects: 
House Prices
Rental Prices
Homeownership
Life-cycle
Credit Conditions
Macro-prudential Policy
JEL: 
D15
E21
E30
E51
G51
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-6825-6
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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