Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/305838 
Year of Publication: 
2022
Citation: 
[Journal:] Global Business & Finance Review (GBFR) [ISSN:] 2384-1648 [Volume:] 27 [Issue:] 1 [Year:] 2022 [Pages:] 83-94
Publisher: 
People & Global Business Association (P&GBA), Seoul
Abstract: 
Purpose: On the backdrop of the recent value versus growth debate in both academics and investment community, this paper investigates which is a better strategy, value or growth strategy. Design/methodology/approach: Reworking the Euler equation, this paper derives the relationship among return, profit growth, and risk. We use three different risk metrics proposed by Park and Fang (2021). We regress the value minus growth return on profit growth and risk variables to determine which is the primary driver of the return in the Korean stock market. The data run from 2000 through 2021. Findings: Our data show that the accumulated return on value minus growth stocks steadily increases over 2000-2012 in Korea, indicating that value stocks outperform growth stocks over the long horizon. Our regression results show that the time-varying risk effect reverts from negativity contemporaneously to positivity with a time lag, and its temporal effect is negligible when aggregated in time. There exists a positive long-run risk effect on the value minus growth return. However, the effect of profit growth on return is not significant, indicating that growth firms' profit prospect is not a factor in the determination of value minus growth return. Research limitations/implications: In the past, stock market uncertainty (risk) have been most caused by either financial system failures or technological innovations. Whether value stocks outperform growth stocks or vice versa may crucially depends on the causes of stock market uncertainty. We need to refine our model to account for the differences in the causes of stock market uncertainty. Originality/value: Our model is a first attempt to combine profit growth and risk in a unifying framework to explain the value and growth spread in the stock market. The conditional CAPM is a risk-based approach in which profit growth is not accounted for.
Subjects: 
Value minus growth return
Time-varying risk effect
Long-run risk effct
Reverting risk and return relation
Profit growth effect
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc Logo
Document Type: 
Article

Files in This Item:
File
Size
431.54 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.