Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/30225
Authors: 
Boje, Amelie
Ott, Ingrid
Stiller, Silvia
Year of Publication: 
2010
Series/Report no.: 
University of Lüneburg Working Paper Series in Economics 164
Abstract: 
In the intermediate and long run energy prices and hence transportation costs are expected to increase significantly. According to the reasoning of the New Economic Geography this will strengthen the spreading forces and thus affect the economic landscape. Other influencing factors on the regional distribution of economic activity include the general trends of demographic and structural change. In industrialized countries, the former induces an overall reduction of population and labor force whereas the latter implies an ongoing shift to the tertiary sector and increased specialization. Basically, cities provide better conditions to cope with these challenges than rural regions. Since the general trends affect all economic spaces similarly, city-specific factors also have to be considered in order to derive the impact of rising energy costs on future urban development. With respect to Hamburg regional peculiarities include the overall importance of the harbor as well as the existing composition of the industry and the service sector. The analysis highlights that rising energy and transportation costs will open up a range of opportunities for the metropolitan region.
Subjects: 
Urban development
regional specialization
structural change
demographic change
transportation costs
JEL: 
R11
J11
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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