Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/235899 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
Working Papers of Agricultural Policy No. WP2020-02
Publisher: 
Kiel University, Department of Agricultural Economics, Chair of Agricultural Policy, Kiel
Abstract: 
We replicated the findings of Miguel and his co-authors, who find a significant negative relationship between economic shocks and the likelihood of civil conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) for the period 1981- 1999, using rainfall growth as an instrumental variable for the economic growth rate. The replication of this study is successfully performed. Furthermore, we apply a robustness test to the results using new cross-country panel data, with different measurements, and econometric specifications. The results appear to be sensitive to changes in data sources that use different methods of making the data available, although we find partly the same patterns between weather and economic growth rate, and between the income growth and the likelihood of civil conflict, like Miguel et al. (2004) for SSA period 1981-1999.
Subjects: 
Rainfall
economic growth rate
conflict
Sub-Saharan Africa
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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