Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/222239 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Journal of Economic Studies [ISSN:] 1119-2259 [Volume:] 17 [Issue:] 1 [Publisher:] Department of Economics, Nnamdi Azikiwe University [Place:] Awka [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 27 – 42-
Publisher: 
Department of Economics, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka
Abstract: 
This study examined the effect of inflationary expectations on stock market returns during the financial crisis era and the post-financial crisis era in Nigeria. The study built its argument using Fisher’s effect to examine the objective. The study employed quarterly data spanning through the periods of first quarter 2007 till the fourth quarter of 2018. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag estimation technique after the stationarity of the variables have been confirmed by ADF and its long-run stability confirmed by Bounds co-integration test, the study found that inflationary expectations are key determinants of stock market returns in Nigeria. The study concludes that stocks do not hedge over inflation as expectations built up by agents in the economy affects stock returns. The study, therefore, rejects the Fisher hypothesis for the case of Nigeria in the post-global financial crisis era.
Subjects: 
Inflationary Expectations
Stock Market Returns
Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)
JEL: 
E31
E44
Document Type: 
Article
Document Version: 
Published Version
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