Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/208272
Authors: 
McQuade, Peter
Schmitz, Martin
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper 2238
Abstract: 
Both academic researchers and policymakers posit a unique role for the US in the inter-national financial system. This paper investigates the characteristics and determinants of US cross-border financial flows and examines how these contrast with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the relative importance of US, country-specific, and global variables as determinants of aggregate and bilateral US financial flows and as determinants of country-level cross-border financial flows excluding those directly involving the US. Our results indicate that variation in US variables - notably the VIX and US dollar exchange rate - has a quantitatively important influence on global financial flows, but mostly via US cross-border flows. Global and national risk indicators perform better in explaining "rest of the world" flows. Moreover, we find that the correlation between US and rest of the world flows peaks in periods of elevated uncertainty. We interpret our findings as evidence for the existence of a global financial cycle, only some of which is driven by policies and events in the US.
Subjects: 
International capital flows
US financial system
VIX
US dollar exchange rate
monetary policy spillovers
JEL: 
F15
F21
F36
F42
G15
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-3500-5
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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