Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/202993 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
Working Paper No. 1904
Publisher: 
Koç University-TÜSİAD Economic Research Forum (ERF), Istanbul
Abstract: 
This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in EMDEs are not as well anchored as those in advanced economies, despite notable improvements over the past two decades. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However, EMDEs tend to be more successful in anchoring inflation expectations in the presence of an inflation targeting regime, high central bank transparency, strong trade integration, and a low level of public debt.
Subjects: 
inflation
inflation expectations
monetary policy
emerging markets
developing economies
JEL: 
E31
E37
E40
E50
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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