Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/180089
Authors: 
Kulikauskas, Darius
Year of Publication: 
2016
Citation: 
[Journal:] Baltic Journal of Economics [ISSN:] 2334-4385 [Volume:] 16 [Year:] 2016 [Issue:] 2 [Pages:] 53-80
Abstract: 
This paper investigates if the imbalances in the Baltic residential real estate markets that were mounting up prior the crisis of 2008–2009 could have been detected in real time. It develops an empirical framework comprised of various empirical techniques for assessing housing price misalignments from their fundamental prices. For this purpose, several statistical indicators (price-to-rent ratio, price-to-income ratio, price deviations from Hodrick-Prescott filtered trend) together with the estimates from equilibrium equations are computed. The use of those indicators in a consistent graphical framework reduce the uncertainty associated with using only a single metric and allows to arrive to clearer conclusions about residential real estate price misalignments. It is shown that the framework would have been able to identify the overvaluation in the residential real estate markets in the Baltics as early as in 2005.
Subjects: 
Housing
real estate
prices
fundamentals
panel
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
JEL: 
R3
R30
R31
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Document Type: 
Article
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