Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/153183 
Year of Publication: 
2007
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper No. 749
Publisher: 
European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt a. M.
Abstract: 
The paper analyses the short-run impact of periods of strong monetary growth on inflation dynamics for 15 industrialised economies. We find that, over a 3-year horizon, the positive link between monetary aggregates and prices holds in approximately fifty percent of the cases. An econometric investigation suggests that a contemporaneous increase in the gap measures of the real stock price and real housing price and strong dynamics of loans to the private sector significantly increase the probability of turning an episode of excessive money growth into an inflationary outburst.
Subjects: 
inflation
money growth
quantity theory of money
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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